This week, Rob Carver joins us to uncover his process of choosing which instruments to trade and how to manage the volatility of these. We also discuss how time frames affect position sizing and the ability to get reasonable exposure to a market as well as how you manage your expenses as a full time systematic trader. We round off our conversation with a deep dive into the latest paper from Man Institute to find out if different regimes exist in reality or just in hindsight. The paper uncovers if investors can reliably profit from correctly identifying them and if so, how? And how various types of investing have performed through different regimes, including Trend Following.
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Episode TimeStamps:
02:26 - What has been on our radar recently?
06:31 - Industry performance update
13:41 - Q1.0, Matthijs: Assuming that the trading costs are not a problem for some low-vol instrument, then how can we decide whether/how to still safely include the instrument in our portfolio?
23:50 - Q1.1 Matthijs: How do we distinguish between benign naturally low-vol instruments and disasters waiting to happen due to artificially dampened volatility?
26:18 - Q2, Ben: If I can trade markets like sugar or OJ on 20-day breakouts, is it reasonable to do so or is that quote-unquote too fast?
32:08 - Q3, Emil: As a full time systematic trader, how do you manage your expenses, with up and down months/years?
43:09 - Discussing latest Man Institute paper on regime based investing
50:37 - A win for trend following
59:32 - Does it matter if the Fed is tightening?
01:01:53 - The Impact of Contango vs. Backwardation
01:09:57 - Thanks for listening
Resources discussed in this Episode:
Copyright © 2023 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
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PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about
In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here
2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score
One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here
3. Other Resources that can help you
And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here
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TTU123: Trend Following Master Class ft. Russell Korgaonkar, CIO at Man AHL
SI226: Trend Following - the Do's & the Dont's ft. Rob Carver
IL11: How China Derailed Its Peaceful Rise ft. Susan Shirk
TTU122: New Amazing CTA & Managed Futures Series
ALO13: Building Resilient Portfolios with Alternatives ft. Dylan Grice
SI225: 2023...Another Great Year for Trend Following? (TTU Group Part 2)
SI224: 2022 the Perfect Year for Trend Followers? (TTU Group Part 1)
GM31: The Art of Volatility Investing ft. Dave Dredge
SI223: 2022 an unusual year for Volatility ft. Cem Karsan
IL10: Chip War (FT's Best Business Book 2022) ft. Chris Miller
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