Zurich-based author and investor Guy Spier (@GSpier), the founder and CEO of Aquamarine Capital, joins Julia La Roche one episode 78.
In 2008, Guy and his friend Monish Pabrai bid just over $650,000 for a charity lunch with Warren Buffett. That meal with the Oracle of Omaha was a transformative experience for Guy, which he wrote about in his book, “The Education of a Value Investor,” which has sold more than 40,000 copies and has also been translated into Hebrew, German, Japanese, Korean, Polish, Mandarin and Spanish.
Guy completed his MBA at the Harvard Business School, class of 1993, and holds a First Class degree in PPE (Politics, Philosophy, and Economics) from Oxford University, where he studied at Brasenose College with British Prime Minister David Cameron. After completing his MBA, Guy started the Aquamarine Fund, an investment vehicle inspired by the original 1950s Buffett partnerships and run with a close replication of the original Buffett partnership rules. The focus is on investing for long-term capital appreciation and capital preservation by running a portfolio of equity investments with the goal of acquiring companies with outstanding long-term economics at a reasonable price and where there is a sufficient margin of safety between the company’s market price and its intrinsic value. Typical investors include high net-worth individuals, family offices, and private banks.
0:00 Show open
1:50 Welcome, Guy Spier
3:00 Started as a Gordon Gekko wannabe, found a ‘lifeline’ through Buffett
6:13 Reading about Warren Buffett
9:47 The pilgrimage to Omaha
11:00 Power of sending thank-you notes
17:00 Handwritten notes from Buffett
18:09 Bidding on lunch with Buffett
22:30 Lunch with Buffett was “transformational.”
27:44 The inner scorecard
30:00 Deep fear ahead of meeting Buffett
34:06 How much does the macro matter?
37:28 Siren songs of the hyped stocks
40:25 Writing with William Green
44:26 Why he changed his mind about not talking to company management
49:20 New investment process checklist items
54:15 Debt
57:10 Buffett spends time thinking about the downside
1:01:20 Content diet for investing
1:08:40 Surrounding yourself with a mastermind group
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#191 Ted Oakley On Deep Market Selloffs: 'If You Don't Have Any Liquidity, It's Not An Opportunity For You'
#190 Brian Wesbury: 'The Morphine Is Wearing Off' And We're Headed For Recession And A Market Correction
#189 Rick Rule On Paying Attention To The Warning Signs In The Economy And Insuring Against Collective Stupidity
#188 Chris Whalen On The Difficult Economic Environment Ahead
#187 Michael Pento: A Triumvirate Of Bubbles Is Creating A Dangerous Situation For Markets And The Economy
#186 David Woo, Economist Who Nailed 2016 And 2020 Election Outcomes, Explains Why The Market Has The Trump Trades Wrong
#185 Jim Rickards: We're Probably Already In A Civil War
#184 Professor Steve Hanke, Who Nailed The 9% Inflation Call, Sees It Falling To 2.5%-3% By Year-End And A Recession On The Way
#183 Neil Howe On The Fourth Turning, Tribalization of America, And The Attempted Assassination of Former President Trump
#182 Tyler Cowen On Why We Might Get Lucky And AI Can Solve Out Debt Situation
#181 Chris Whalen On Why The Fed Is Worried About A Recession Next Year
#180 Andrew Wilkinson On Going From A Barista To A Billionaire, Building Tiny 'The Berkshire Hathaway' Of Tech, And Life Lessons From Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger, And Bill Ackman
#179 Ed Dowd On The Fed's Policy Error And Why We Could See A Bad Correction Ahead
#178 Peter Boockvar: The Is The Most Mixed And Uneven Economy That I’ve Ever Seen And It Feels More Like A 1.5% GDP Growth Rate Economy Rather Than 3%
#177 Mike Green: Passive Investing Has Turned The Market On Autopilot
#176 Economist Jonathan Treussard On The Extraordinarily Confusing Macro Data, Markets With A Memory Of A Goldfish, And If We're In Bubble Territory
#175 Chris Whalen: 'We're Hiding A Lot' — Why Commercial Could Be The Next Source Of The Financial Crisis In This Country
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