Today, Mark Rzepczynsky joins me to discuss momentum gap and why momentum is a core component of all markets, the concept of "stretch" and when to enter and exit trades at the right time, dislocations in markets and how AI may or may not affect the trend following space. We then review all the things we were "promised" would happen in the first half of 2023...but did not! And to round things off, we dive into what causes models to fail and why there are many ways to interpret the success of a model, the challenge of predicting markets and much more.
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Episode TimeStamps:
01:03 - What happened this week?
03:48 - Industry performance update
05:21 - Article on momentum gap
16:46 - Getting the entry and exit right
23:25 - What did not happen this year?
32:02 - AI and trend following
35:48 - Advice on using AI and machine learning
42:59 - Failure of models
52:19 - The challenge of evaluating models
56:28 - Being macro aware
01:00:35 - Thanks for listening
Copyright © 2023 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
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PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about
In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here
2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score
One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here
3. Other Resources that can help you
And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here
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TTU121: Trend Following... from Optional to Essential ft. Nick Baltas
SI217: Finding the Optimal Trend Following Allocation ft. Rob Carver
GM27: Central Banks were Warned about their Failed Policies ft. William White
SI216: A New Era for Trend Following? ft. Alan Dunne
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SI215: Trend Following vs Volatility to Protect Your Portfolio ft. Cem Karsan
IL09: The Money Revolution...Rethinking Economic Growth ft. Richard Duncan
SI214: Trend Following & CTA Replication ft. Andrew Beer
IL08: Why The Best Quitters Win ft. Annie Duke
SI213: Trend Following Records are being set in 2022? ft. Richard Brennan
GM25: A realtime account of going through "hell" in the markets ft. Michael Gayed
SI212: Trend Following in a Soft, Hard or No Landing ft. Alan Dunne
GM24: The Real Cause of the Global Energy Crisis (Part 1) ft. Adam Rozencwajg
SI211: A Trend Following Renaissance? ft. Mark Rzepczynski
GM23: The Wars of Capital ft. Michael Howell
SI210: Trend Following Q & A ft. Rob Carver
IL07: Equality Across the Globe can be Achieved ft. Oded Galor
SI209: Trend Following...The Best Way to Surf the Markets ft. Richard Brennan
ALO11: From Ballet Dancer to CIO ft. Cameron Dawson
SI208: Trend Following in Today's Economy ft. Alan Dunne
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