Peter Berezin, Chief Global Strategist and Research Director at BCA Research joins us today for a wide ranging discussion on the outlook for global economy and global capital markets. We hear why Peter has been more upbeat than the consensus on the outlook for the US economy but why he continues to believe that the outlook is for recession next year. He outlines why US stocks may continue to make gains in the near term but the outlook is much more challenging on a five-year view. We discuss his Kinked Philips Curve framework for analysing the economy and why that continues to point to declining inflation in the near term. We also discuss the outlook for China, the renminbi, the yen and global emerging markets.
-----
EXCEPTIONAL RESOURCE: Find Out How to Build a Safer & Better Performing Portfolio using this FREE NEW Portfolio Builder Tool
-----
Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.
IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.
And you can get a free copy of my latest book “The Many Flavors of Trend Following” here.
Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.
Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com
And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.
Follow Cem on Twitter.
Follow Peter on Twitter.
Episode TimeStamps:
02:15 - Introduction to Peter Berezin
05:35 - The current state of the U.S economy
10:14 - Where is inflation heading?
16:24 - A wrong prediction?
20:23 - How will markets be impacted by AI and new tech?
24:39 - How has the economy withstood higher rates?
27:10 - What does Peter's models show us?
31:32 - Challenges in the credit space
33:33 - The implications of high valuations
36:08 - Potential weaknesses in the system
40:45 - Looking outside of the U.S.
44:43 - The outlook for currencies
47:03 - Emerging markets and the geopolitical situation in China
49:43 - How is Asia holding up?
52:08 - Are we going to see changes in the inflation target?
56:21 - The big picture view over the next decade
58:23 - Advice for new investors
59:37 - Thanks for listening
Copyright © 2023 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
----
PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about
In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here
2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score
One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here
3. Other Resources that can help you
And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here
Privacy Policy
Disclaimer
GM42: What's Coming for Oil, Gas, Gold & Metals ft. Adam Rozencwajg
SI243: Sell in May and Go Away...Really ft. Cem Karsan
IL17: The Dangers to Democracy ft. Martin Wolf
SI242: How to Detect when the Trend Changes ft. Mark Rzepczynski
GM41: Global Macro Face Off ft. Cem Karsan & Alfonso Peccatiello
SI241: Trend Following...The Perfect Risk Mitigation Strategy ft. Alan Dunne
GM40: The Risk of Volatility Exploding...Soon ft. Cem Karsan
SI240: Trend Following... More Than Just Vol Scaling? ft. Nick Baltas
IL16: False Narratives - A Path to a World of Conflict ft. Stephen Roach
TTU143: How to stay Sharpe ft. Guillaume Jamet, Co-CIO at Metori Capital Management
SI239: CTAs Profits from Food Crisis...True or False? ft. Andrew Beer
GM39: The Secrets of a Natural Resource Speculator ft. Rick Rule
TTU142: The Contrarian ft. Roy Niederhoffer, President of R.G. Niederhoffer Capital Management
SI238: Why Not to Trend Follow ft. Rob Carver
GM38: Debt, Stagnation and Policy Responses ft. Barry Eichengreen
TTU141: The Alternative Trendfollower ft. Douglas Greenig, CEO of Florin Court
SI237: Trend Following During March Madness ft. Richard Brennan
IL15: Preparing for a De-Globalized World ft. Rana Foroohar
TTU140: Why Trend Following is Smart Diversification ft. Bruno Gmür, Founder of Quantica
SI236: New Opportunities in Volatility Trading ft. Cem Karsan
Create your
podcast in
minutes
It is Free
The emPOWERed Half Hour
U.S Property Podcast
Aligned Money Show
Dubai Property Podcast
The Ramsey Show
The Clark Howard Podcast