The Acid Capitalist Hugh Hendry joins Julia La Roche again, this time in the East Village, for an in-person, unfiltered conversation on macro and more.
Links:
Twitter/X: https://twitter.com/hendry_hugh
Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-acid-capitalist-podcast/id1511187978
YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@HughHendryOfficial
Timestamps:
0:00 Intro and welcome
1:36 Macro view and the Fed’s no-win situation
2:45 Revisiting financial history
4:20 The U.S. has become the economic locomotive of global growth
5:00 Policy error of fiscal conservatism
6:30 Everything is expensive
7:52 Invest 10% of net worth
9:00 Hugh’s hedge fund years
12:24 ‘To manage a lot of money you have to be serious.’ — the suits
19:07 Looking at charts and patterns while listening to Pink Floyd
24:30 China
36:19 The bubble today - the fragility of valuations
38:00 How you want to be allocated
44:16 The conceit and the arrogance of a well-formed argument
47:00 Hugh’s mistake buying Reader’s Digest in the 90s
48:48 Hugh’s go-to interview question: Tell me when you know it’s going wrong
50:44 Gold’s breakout — not an agent of chaos, the alchemy of chaos
52:24 Japanese Yen
53:49 Bitcoin
57:09 Silver
1:01:50 The Fed’s no-win situation
1:06:49 The Fed shouldn't be cutting interest rates
1:08:47 Present danger
1:11:00 The death of money?
1:15:00 Millennials and Bitcoin
1:18:43 The Bono story
#166 Nancy Davis: 'Whatever They Say, The Opposite Happens' — Fed Meeting Reaction, Why Inflation Is Here To Stay, And The Opportunity For Investors
#165 Jim Bianco On Stickier Inflation, A 10-20% Chance Of A Rate Hike, And Why The 10-Year Treasury Yield Could Surge To 5-5.5%
#164 Chris Whalen On Higher Interest Rates, Illiquidity, And The Death Of Leverage
#163 Professor Scott Galloway: We're Turning Into Something That's Not Very American
#162 Keith Fitz-Gerald, Investor Who Nailed 2023 Market Rally, Says The Fed Doesn’t Matter — Investing In Optimism Does
#161 Michael Howell On Global Liquidity, A Re-entry Point For Risk Assets, Monetary Inflation, Gold, The US Dollar
#160 Bill Fleckenstein: The Fed Is Trapped And Unable To Fight Inflation
#159 Lyn Alden On Fiscal Dominance Macro Backdrop, Why The Rise In Gold Is Indicative Of Fiscal Problems, And Why Bitcoin Could Hit Six-Figures In This Cycle
#158 Larry McDonald: We’re Entering A Sustained Inflation Regime, Why Trillions Of Dollars Are Currently Misallocated, And The Opportunity Right Now In Hard Assets
#157 Dr. Gary Shilling On The Hidden Flaws In The Economy
#156 Tom McClellan On Why The Recession Is Still Coming And Why The Second Half Of 2024 Could Be Unpleasant For Stocks
#155 Meredith Whitney On The 'Bifurcated' Economy And Consumer, Why It Will 'Pay To Be Patient' For Young Homebuyers, And The Coming 'Silver Tsunami'
#154 Dr. Art Laffer: We Are In The Middle Of A Massive Redistribution Revolution And It's Destroying Growth
#153 Amy Nixon On Inflation Running Hot And Pivoting On The Deflationary Recession Call
#152 Brian Hirschmann: This Is Probably The Most Dangerous Time In US Financial History
#151 Whitney Tilson On The Mistake Of Predicting Doom And Gloom
#150 Alfonso Peccatiello On The Risk of a Global Recession Triggered by China's Deleveraging And The Spillover Effects Not Many Are Paying Attention To
#149 Jeff Snider: We're Still On The Same Path To Recession
#148 'Convexity Maven' Harley Bassman: The Market Is Ahead Of The Fed By A Lot
#147 Andreas Steno On Why The Resurgence In Inflation Could Mean Another Rate Hike From The Fed
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