Today, Mark Rzepczynski and I dissect the macro rally we are experiencing at the moment. We discuss why we are seeing an increasing attention to what CTAs are doing, how survey data regarding the economy confuses investors and markets, and we address some of the most common questions that investors ask in meetings at the moment. Additionally, we discuss how explanatory depth can be applied to trend following, why it is critical to master your attention and speed of adjustment and we wrap up debating how much slippage a trend follower should expect and if slippage can be turned into a new source of alpha.
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Episode TimeStamps:
01:21 - What has caught Mark's attention recently?
02:20 - Industry performance update
04:51 - What is going on in the markets?
09:01 - Reverse engineering the CTAs
11:45 - Confusion in the markets
14:38 - Are we being lied to about inflation?
20:24 - Mixed signals
22:14 - What are investors asking in meetings at the moment?
25:33 - Modeling with personality
32:25 - Losers create diversification
36:13 - Things that are often being forgotten
38:15 - Narratives and explanatory depth
47:04 - Are short-term models better than longer-term models?
50:34 - Does new = better?
56:42 - Getting the backtest and transactions costs right
59:31 - Don't overstep your capacity
01:01:29 - Minimizing slippage
01:04:23 - What is a reasonable level of slippage
01:06:48 - Thanks for listening
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PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about
In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here
2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score
One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here
3. Other Resources that can help you
And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here
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SI155: How to Create the Perfect Backtest ft. Richard Brennan
SI154: Defining 'Outliers' from a Trend Follower's Perspective ft. Richard Brennan
SI153: Being Aware of Known & Unknown Risks ft. Mark Rzepczynski
SI152: Love Your Rules, But Not Your Positions ft. Jerry Parker
SI151 Long-Term Profitability vs Short-Term Luck ft. Moritz Seibert
SI150: Extracting Edges from the Market ft. Richard Brennan
SI149: Model Anxiety & Algorithm Aversion ft. Mark Rzepczynski
SI148: The Importance of Capturing A Few Large Trends ft. Jerry Parker
SI147: The Perfect Exit Strategy ft. Moritz Seibert
SI146: The Trend Following Mindset ft. Rob Carver
SI145: The 3 D's of Inflation ft. Mark Rzepczynski
SI144: Why Single Stocks Should Matter to CTAs ft. Jerry Parker
SI143: How Decentralised Is Bitcoin? ft. Eric Crittenden
TTU115: Building a Bulletproof Portfolio with Jason Buck of Mutiny Fund
SI142: How Decentralised Is Bitcoin Really? ft. Rob Carver
SI141: Aligning 'Operation Tempo' with your Trading Personality ft. Mark Rzepcyznski
SI140: Down Markets Are Often a Treasure to Trend Followers ft. Jerry Parker
SI139: How to Beat Unpredictable Markets ft. Moritz Seibert
SI138: The 'Holy Trinity' of Security Selection ft. Rob Carver
SI137: Can AI Trading Be Better Than Classical Methods? ft. Mark Rzepczynski
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