Is a 75bp Rate Increase Already Baked-in? (9/19/22)

(9/19/22) A bit of distraction to start the morning with all eyes on the State Funeral of Queen Elizabeth II; the next meeting of the FOMC is on Wednesday, with expectations for a 75-basis point rate increase already "baked into the cake;" there is concern the Fed could go for a 1% rate hike. Goldman is predicting rates at 4 to 4.25% by the end of the year--hopefully the point at which the Fed will halt rate increases. The Stock Buy-back Blackout period is about to commence, and that activity has made up about 40% of Markets' total return since 2011. Federal Express's earnings miss was accompanied by a negative outlook; the Fred Smith Story; when will Amazon be pre-Prime? Is year-over-year portfolio performance comparison a long-enough perspective/ SEG-1: Navigating with The Fed (using lagging data) SEG-2: Why Stock Buy-backs are NOT a Return of Capital to Investors SEG-3: FedEx Fallout SEG-4: Gauging Performance w Proper Perspective Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer -------- Watch today's show on our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ok76LzsOFTw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 -------- Our Latest "Three Minutes on Markets & Money: What Happens When Buy-backs Go Away" is here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jU185LOQkJ0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAujOhIFDH3jRhuLDpscQaq16&index=1&t=1s -------- Our previous show is here: "How High Will Fed Rates Need to Go?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wlru4UOaWiY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=934s -------- Get more info & commentary: https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to RIA Pro: https://riapro.net/home -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #InvestingAdvice #FedEx #FOMC #AmazonPrime #BuyBack#Blackout #FredSmith #WalMart #QueenElizabeth_II #Inflation #Markets #Money #Investing