(10/27/22) As markets wrap up October's business, the generals' earnings reports are not at all encouraging: Meta's was only okay, tempered by Mark Zuckerberg's all-in bet on the future of the Metaverse. Markets did end higher than they started, but there remain two levels of resistance to overcome. The Fed's "Operation Twist" and treasury liquidity; the demand for short-term T-bills is outpacing longer-term instruments; Liquidity matters; there's high risk in the Fed stoking inflation with QE; the imbalance between buys and sellers of bonds; voters will decide elections with their pocketbooks as their guide; there is a growing possibility of Recession by 2023; investors want a quick fix, avoiding any pain; yield curve behaviors & signal as telling us it's coming. The problem with Inflation is it's reflected in lagging numbers; cheating fishermen plead not-guilty; beating up the generals; higher growth companies are more susceptible to high interest rates;
SEG-1: Wrapping Up October: The Generals Report
SEG-2: The Fed's "Operation Twist" & Treasury Illiquidity
SEG-3: Throwing Jerome Powell Under the Bus
SEG-4: Cheating Fisherman & Beaten-up Companies
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
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Our previous show is here:
"Why Americans' Savings Rates Have Fallen Off a CLiff"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QeA_MleihDU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2704s
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Articles mentioned in this podcast:
"A Balanced Portfolio Promises a Better 2023"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/a-balanced-portfolio-promises-a-better-2023
"MBS, Convexity Vortex, and a Silver Lining for Bonds"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/mbs-convexity-vortex-and-a-silver-lining-for-bonds
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