PE17: Power trend percentiles on bitcoin price

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This is the seventeenth video installment from Porkopolis Economics, covering macro and money, from the creator of the Crypto Voices podcast.

Contents

00:00 Intro

01:21 Centralized exchange problems in BTC history

05:20 Power regression trendline (95% R-squared)

07:07 1-sigma bands

07:50 2-sigma bands

08:27 Predictive trend

10:05 Log scale

11:06 Log-log scale

13:50 Finance is not a bell curve

20:27 Power trend summary

Here we run and explain a power trendline over the last 13+ years of bitcoin price data, as well as 1-sigma and 2-sigma percentile bands around the trendline.

Coefficients:

y = a * x ^ b

y = y-intercept * x ^ slope

y = 6.12E-18 * x ^ 590%

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Show content is not investment or financial advice in any way.