国民党“侯老三”放大招，总统选情能起死回生吗？ Taiwan’s 2024 presidential race

2024年台湾总统选举进入半年倒计时，各政党厉兵秣马加速冲刺。

民调落后的最大在野党国民党候选人侯友宜星期一晚上突然放大招，松口表示支持九二共识。侯友宜还承诺维护两岸和平，让台湾的兵役制度从一年恢复到4个月。

根据最新的民调，在台湾总统大选的三名候选人中，执政的民进党候选人赖清德的支持率是35.9%，稳定领先。在野的民众党候选人柯文哲的支持率有28.6%，而侯友宜的支持率只有17.1%。由于侯友宜选情惨淡，富商郭台铭也跃跃欲试要取而代之。在野力量整合不起来，赖清德就可以躺着当选，保送民进党继续执政。

侯友宜星期一的最新表态能为自己扭转乾坤吗？谁会成功成为2024年台湾总统大选在野共主？什么是这次大选的最大变数？

这期的早报播客《东谈西论》，听主持人韩咏红和国立台湾大学政治系教授王业立剖析台湾总统选情。

延伸阅读：

• 台总统选战或四角混战 侯友宜首次承认九二共识
• 下午察：不败传奇金溥聪能否为侯友宜解套？

纵观天下，监测中国心跳，由《联合早报》副总编辑韩咏红主持的国际时事播客《东谈西论》，每周探讨国际热点话题，分析国际时政动态。每逢星期二新加坡时间晚上 7 时更新。

 

The 2024 Taiwan presidential race intensifies as the six-month countdown begins. 

Kuomintang (KMT) candidate Hou Yu-ih, who has been lagging behind in the opinion polls, suddenly expressed his support for the "1992 Consensus" on Monday night. He also promised to maintain peace across the Taiwan Strait and reduce Taiwan's military service from one year to four months.

According to the latest opinion polls, the incumbent Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) candidate Lai Ching-te is leading the race with 35.9% support. The support for Taiwan People’s Party's candidate Ko Wen-je is 28.6% while Hou is in third place at 17.1%. Due to Hou's poor performance, businessman Terry Gou has expressed his desire to replace him as KMT candidate.

Can Hou turn the tide in his favour? Who will emerge as the main opposition candidate when Taiwan holds its next presidential election in January? What are the factors that could influence the outcome of this election?

In this episode of Global Heartbeat podcast, National Taiwan University Political Science Professor Wang Yeh-Lih shares his insights with host Han Yong Hong. 

Hosted by Lianhe Zaobao’s Associate Editor, Han Yong Hong, Global Heartbeat is a Mandarin weekly news and current affairs podcast that is updated every Tuesday, 7.00 PM SGT. It is available on zaobao.sg, Apple Podcast, Google Podcasts, Spotify and other podcast platforms.

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