CPI Inflation clocks in hotter than expected, with more data to come; car insurance inflation is an out-of-the-blue surprise (unless you recently renewed your policy!) What does the Fed do next? Markets are pricing-in NO rate cuts in June...and maybe not at all this year. Markets trace the 20-DMA, building a rounded top as momentum slows; beginning to confirm a take-down of the 20-DMA. Economic growth is slowing; insurance inflation spike "smells like" an adjustment; it's a lagging indicator. Homeowners equivalent rent is also a lagging indicator. It's not a question of if, but when inflation will fall, but prices are still sticky. Inflation still a function of supply & demand, and there's ample supply remaining, pushing prices and rents downward. S&P & Gold: The risk in slowing momentum; we're still in a bull market (until we're not)./ Markets are priced for 5-10% correction. There are no warnings from credit spreads, so far, but corporate loans are starting to show some concerns. What the Leveraged-loan Market is saying: defaults are on the rise. The NFIB Small Business Survey this time was really bad;. There are lots of inconsistencies in economic data. The impact of illegal immigrants on employment; gold is in a bubble.
SEG-1: Inflation is Hotter Than Expected
SEG-2: Economic Growth is Slowing: Normalistically
SEG-3: The Risk in Momentum Loss
SEG-4: Is Gold in a Bubble?
Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor, Danny Ratliff, CFP
Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer
-------
Watch today's show video here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ew1SiTbo-Ow&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s
-------
Articles mentioned in this report:
"Is Gold Warning Us Or Running With The Markets?"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/is-gold-warning-us-or-running-with-the-markets/
"Margin Debt Surges As Bulls Leverage Bets"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/margin-debt-surges-as-bulls-leverage-bets/
"Inflation Scare Or Much Ado About Nothing?"
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
-------
The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets Break the Trendline?" is here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tgN81AwIyRU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1
-------
Our previous show is here: "Can Social Security Be Saved?"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9NiGgvTMiQg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=5s
--------
Register for our next Candid Coffee:
https://streamyard.com/watch/qbNmkhUtAemn
-------
Get more info & commentary:
https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/
--------
SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow
--------
Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com
Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN
--------
Subscribe to SimpleVisor:
https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new
--------
Connect with us on social:
https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice
https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts
https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/
https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/
#HotterInflation #StickyInflation #TheGoldBubble #MarketsTest20DMA #CPI #SupplyAndDemand #DebtIssuance #ProductiveDebt #NonProductiveDebt #InvestingAdvice #Markets #Money #Investing
view more