Download - Contrarian Jason Shapiro: Bearish on Industrial Metals, Neutral on Stocks and Bullish on Bonds (for now)

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Forward Guidance

Business:Investing

Contrarian Jason Shapiro: Bearish on Industrial Metals, Neutral on Stocks and Bullish on Bonds (for now)

2024-05-31

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Forward Guidance is sponsored by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Morningstar Wide MOAT ETF (MOAT) at https://vaneck.com/MOATFG.

Jason Shapiro on Twitter https://x.com/Crowded_Mkt_Rpt

Jason Shapiro website https://www.crowdedmarketreport.com/

Jason Shapiro YouTube channel https://www.youtube.com/@crowdedmarketreport

Follow VanEck on Twitter https://twitter.com/vaneck_us

Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://twitter.com/JackFarley96

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Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(00:41) Jason Is "Neutral" On Stocks

(03:14) If Stocks Don't Rally On A Lower-Than-Expected PCE Number, There's Trouble

(06:30) Copper Has Become "The Favorite Trade On The Planet"

(13:00) Central Banks Have Painted Themselves Into A Corner

(20:50) "I Would Not Be Super Aggressive Here"

(22:37) VanEck Ad

(23:17) Jack's Push-Back Against "The Endgame" Take

(26:31) Trading Off A Macro View Is Dangerous As Hell

(27:37) Nvidia: The Mag One

(36:49) Bond Market Positioning

(41:10) U.S. Government Is Running A Pro-Cyclical Fiscal Deficit

(43:50) Jason Doesn't Trade On His Macro View Of Money-Printing Endgame, In The Same Way That A Profitable Sportsbetter From New York Doesn't Bet On The Knicks

(44:56) Barron's Roundtable Portfolio Is Up 2% This Year (Compared to 12% S&P 500)

(51:31) Jason's View Of Market Breadth

(56:49) Jason Is "Not A Big Believer In Chinese Stocks"

(01:06:15) Babyish Sentiment (People Freaking Out About Stock Market Being 5% Off Its Highs) Is Probably A Bullish Sign Argues Jason

(01:09:06) On A Short-Term Basis Jason Prefers Bonds To Stocks. What Would Have To Happen For That To Change?

Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.