An Inevitable Recession? Why the Soft Landing is a Myth | Julian Brigden

In this episode, Julian Brigden of MI2 Partners discusses the current economic landscape, challenging the prevailing optimism about a soft landing. He delves into the complexities of the labor market, the sticky nature of core service inflation, and the psychological shift in corporate pricing strategies. Brigden explores the Federal Reserve's dilemma in managing inflation without triggering a recession, and examines global economic flows and their impact on the US dollar. To close out Julian unpacks where potential may exist in the choppy market. Enjoy!

--

Follow Julian Brigden: https://x.com/julianmi2

Follow Felix: https://x.com/fejau_inc

Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod

Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_

On The Margin Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/onthemargin

--

Avalanche is a smart contracts platform that scales infinitely and regularly finalizes transactions in less than one second. Its novel consensus protocol, Subnet infrastructure, and HyperSDK toolkit enable Web3 developers to easily launch powerful, custom blockchain solutions.

Build anything you want, any way you want, on the eco-friendly blockchain designed for Web3 devs. Start building today at https://www.avax.network/

--

MANTRA Chain is a Cosmos SDK-based L1 blockchain addressing regulatory compliance gaps in the Cosmos ecosystem. Positioned as the "blockchain for tokenized RWAs and regulated digital assets," MANTRA offers high-performance, scalable blockchain architecture, supporting both permissionless and regulated, compliant applications. Learn more: https://www.mantrachain.io/

--

Join us at Permissionless III Oct 9-11. Use code: MARGIN10 for a 10% discount: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-iii

--

Timestamps:

(00:00) Introduction

(01:46) Are Rate Cuts Coming?

(08:54) Why Rate Cuts Might Not Come

(14:46) Avalanche Ad

(16:07) Mantra Ad

(17:13) Why Rate Cuts Might Not Come (Continued)

(20:41) 2025 Recession Outlook

(29:02) Bond Market Sentiment

(30:48) Permissionless Ad

(31:28) Reality of Inflation

(48:13) Global Market Opportunity

--

Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.