How did the polls get it so wrong?

The votes have been cast and we have a winner, but why didn’t the polls see it coming? This week on Democracy Sausage Mark and the panel pick over a Queensland backlash, the presidentialisation of politics, and whether Labor misjudged the mood of the electorate.

If you have a go, you’ll get a go – and against the odds (and polls) it’ll be Scott Morrison and the Coalition that’ll get a go at running the country. But how and why did it go so wrong for Labor? This week’s Democracy Sausage podcast takes a look at a dramatic outcome and why the polls didn’t see it coming. Mark and the panel – Marija Taflaga and Kieran Gilbert – also take a look at why the ‘climate change’ election saw the climate change against a change of government, and why maybe it’s the economy, stupid.

Mark Kenny is a Senior Fellow in the ANU Australian Studies Institute. He came to the university after a high-profile journalistic career including six years as chief political correspondent and national affairs editor for The Sydney Morning Herald, The Age, and The Canberra Times.

Kieran Gilbert is Chief Political Reporter for Sky News Australia where he hosts AM Agenda and First Edition.

Dr Marija Taflaga is a lecturer in the ANU School of Politics and International Relations. Her major research is on political parties and particularly the Liberal Party of Australia. She has previously worked in the Australian Parliamentary Press Gallery as a researcher at The Sydney Morning Herald and The Age.

Democracy Sausage with Mark Kenny is available on iTunes, Spotify, Google Podcasts, or wherever you get your podcasts. We’d love to hear your feedback for this podcast series! Send in your questions, comments, or suggestions for future episodes to podcast@policyforum.net. You can also Tweet us @APPSPolicyForum or join us on the Facebook group.

This podcast is part of Policy Forum’s Australian Election coverage and published in partnership with The Australian National University.

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