#029 GPT-3, Prompt Engineering, Trading, AI Alignment, Intelligence

This week Dr. Tim Scarfe, Dr. Keith Duggar, Yannic Kilcher and Connor Leahy cover a broad range of topics, ranging from academia, GPT-3 and whether prompt engineering could be the next in-demand skill, markets and economics including trading and whether you can predict the stock market, AI alignment, utilitarian philosophy, randomness and intelligence and even whether the universe is infinite!

00:00:00 Show Introduction

00:12:49 Academia and doing a Ph.D

00:15:49 From academia to wall street

00:17:08 Quants -- smoke and mirrors? Tail Risk

00:19:46 Previous results dont indicate future success in markets

00:23:23 Making money from social media signals?

00:24:41 Predicting the stock market

00:27:20 Things which are and are not predictable

00:31:40 Tim postscript comment on predicting markets

00:32:37 Connor take on markets

00:35:16 As market become more efficient..

00:36:38 Snake oil in ML

00:39:20 GPT-3, we have changed our minds

00:52:34 Prompt engineering a new form of software development?

01:06:07 GPT-3 and prompt engineering

01:12:33 Emergent intelligence with increasingly weird abstractions

01:27:29 Wireheading and the economy

01:28:54 Free markets, dragon story and price vs value

01:33:59 Utilitarian philosophy and what does good look like?

01:41:39 Randomness and intelligence

01:44:55 Different schools of thought in ML

01:46:09 Is the universe infinite?

Thanks a lot for Connor Leahy for being a guest on today's show. https://twitter.com/NPCollapse -- you can join his EleutherAI community discord here: https://discord.com/invite/vtRgjbM