WORLD WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS FOR AUGUST 11, 2023
- GFS operational model runs have been quite volatile recently with too much ridge building over the U.S. Midwest Thursday at mid-day and now a lack of ridge building in the 00z model run for today. The GFS Ensemble is still the model of preference and it has not wavered much this week. Less rain and warmer temperatures are expected in the Midwest during the second week of the forecast and that may also help to promote rain in a part of Canada’s Prairies again late this month
- U.S. crops in the Midwest, Delta and southeastern states will see a good mix of weather in this first week and then see a little less frequent and less significant rain in the second week along with warmer temperatures
- Texas will continue hot and dry through the next ten days and perhaps longer
- Canada’s Prairies will see erratic rainfall of light intensity in this coming week to ten days with greater rain “possible” late this month and into September
- No change in Europe’s forecast were noted today with some periodic showers, but some welcome drying as well
- Europe will become quite warm for a while next week which will accelerate the drying and improve small grain harvest conditions and summer crop development in the previously wet areas in the north
- Russia’s Southern Region into northwestern Kazakhstan and the southern Ural Mountains region will continue to dry out and remain very warm to hot during the coming week to ten days
- Another wave of rain will move through China’s North China Plain and northeastern provinces this weekend into early next week maintaining wet field conditions and some concern over summer crop maturation rates
- Western and southern India will continue to dry out for the next week ten days, although a few showers will pop up occasionally
- Typhoon Lan will move across western and central Honshu, Japan late this weekend into early next week with remnants of the storm moving into southeastern Russia during mid-week
- Some damaging wind and flooding rain may impact a part of Honshu
- Southern Australia will continue to see waves of rain through the next ten days maintaining a good outlook for wheat, barley and canola, but Queensland, far northern New South Wales and northern Western Australia will remain dry
- Western Argentina’s drought will change little through the next ten days as rainfall stays minimal
- Eastern Argentina will get a little rain periodically along with southern Brazil, Uruguay and southern Paraguay where wheat will stay plenty wet and early planting of first season corn may be slowed by some of the rain
- Safrinha corn and cotton harvesting continue to advance well in Brazil with little weather related delay expected
- Thailand rainfall will continue restricted in the coming week leaving some crops stressed and in need of greater rain