Typically, a pass is considered “deep” if it travels 20-plus yards downfield. That’s important because it means we’re not just talking about high-lofting downfield bombs. We’re also talking about balls that target deeper dig, corner and even comeback routes. Those throws predominantly occur near or outside the numbers, making the “20-yard throw” more like 25-35 air yards. So yes, quarterback’s arm strength matters. Often, it matters a lot. Remember: In the NFL, arm strength is not so much about how far you throw the ball but how fast. And, indirectly, how precisely, sincean accurate ball travels more efficiently than an inaccurate ball. Can you win with a quarterback who is not a premier downfield thrower? Of course. But is it easier to win with one who is? Also, of course.
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