This week, Rob Carver joins us to uncover his process of choosing which instruments to trade and how to manage the volatility of these. We also discuss how time frames affect position sizing and the ability to get reasonable exposure to a market as well as how you manage your expenses as a full time systematic trader. We round off our conversation with a deep dive into the latest paper from Man Institute to find out if different regimes exist in reality or just in hindsight. The paper uncovers if investors can reliably profit from correctly identifying them and if so, how? And how various types of investing have performed through different regimes, including Trend Following.
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Episode TimeStamps:
02:26 - What has been on our radar recently?
06:31 - Industry performance update
13:41 - Q1.0, Matthijs: Assuming that the trading costs are not a problem for some low-vol instrument, then how can we decide whether/how to still safely include the instrument in our portfolio?
23:50 - Q1.1 Matthijs: How do we distinguish between benign naturally low-vol instruments and disasters waiting to happen due to artificially dampened volatility?
26:18 - Q2, Ben: If I can trade markets like sugar or OJ on 20-day breakouts, is it reasonable to do so or is that quote-unquote too fast?
32:08 - Q3, Emil: As a full time systematic trader, how do you manage your expenses, with up and down months/years?
43:09 - Discussing latest Man Institute paper on regime based investing
50:37 - A win for trend following
59:32 - Does it matter if the Fed is tightening?
01:01:53 - The Impact of Contango vs. Backwardation
01:09:57 - Thanks for listening
Resources discussed in this Episode:
Copyright © 2023 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved
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PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about
In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here
2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score
One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here
3. Other Resources that can help you
And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here
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OI08: Trend Following...Austrian Style ft. Michael Neubauer & Joseph Waldstein from SMN
SI300: Finding the Optimal Trend Following Rules ft. Richard Brennan
IL27: Unlocking the Secrets of Great Communication ft. Charles Duhigg
SI299: Sharing the Trend Following Pie ft. Andrew Beer
GM62: How to Build a Future-Proof Portfolio ft. Bob Elliott
SI298: The Trend Following ETF Revolution ft. Katy Kaminski
GM61: The New Politics: Neoliberal Decline and Authoritarian Rise ft. Gary Gerstle
Si297: Trend Following as a Return Enhancement Overlay ft. Alan Dunne
IL26: How New Technologies Will Shape the Economy ft. Koen De Leus & Philippe Gijsels
SI296: Is Trend Following Becoming Too Complicated? ft. Mark Rzepczynski
ALO24: Managing Money Through Structural Shifts ft. Richard Urwin
SI295: Trend Followers - The Unwanted Party Guests? ft. Nick Baltas
ALO23: Behind the Scenes of a High Net Worth Investor ft. Tad Fallows
SI294: Lowering the Cost of being Long Commodities ft. Hari Krishnan
GM60: Preparing Your Portfolio for the Second Half of 2024 ft. Christian Mueller-Glissmann
SI293: Market Outlook for the Rest of 2024 & EOY S&P500 level ft. Cem Karsan
GM59: The Geopolitical Tug-of-War: Russia, China & the West ft. Marko Papic
SI292: Is Cocoa becoming Too Hot for Trend Followers? ft. Rob Carver
IL25: Any Happy Returns... the Next Super Cycle? ft. Peter Oppenheimer
SI291: Trend Following...What should it mean to Investors? ft. Richard Brennan
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