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This is the seventieth video installment from Porkopolis Economics, covering macro and money, from the creator of the Crypto Voices podcast, Matthew Mezinskis.
Contents
00:00 Intro
00:32 Starting at bottom of bear
01:39 Exponential trends straight lines on log
02:40 2005 trendline
04:37 2012 trendline
06:07 2015 trendlines until today
10:15 Looking out to 2030
12:22 Above or below trend more often?
Here I talk about the exponential regression trendlines over gold's price from 1999. As gold is base money, like bitcoins, this video can be used to compare and contrast the supply and demand (price) trends for bitcoins we did in the last few videos. A key difference is that gold (and most markets) follow exponential trendlines, whereas the price of bitcoins follow a power trendline.
All-time trend coefficients to draw it yourself:
Power formula: y = a * EXP (b * x)
Coefficients found: y = 3.12E+02 * EXP (0.0237% * x)
Prior videos with further info:
Gold original exponential explainer: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oFRkS2_ylec
Gold with percentiles: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LTkkPpCfxWA
Host: Matthew Mezinskis
https://porkopolis.io
https://twitter.com/crypto_voices
Show content is not investment or financial advice in any way.
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PE62: Bitcoin vs. the FED (II)
PE61: Bill Clinton and Bitcoin (I)
PE60: Reagan, Clinton, and debt: Who was better? (III)
PE59: USA Public debt - WWI to Vietnam (II)
PE58: USA Public debt in the 1800s (I)
PE57: Those sweet POWER trendlines on bitcoin price
PE56: Austrian Business Cycle Theory & Practice (XI)
PE55: Floored interest rate policy (X)
PE54: Where was the hyperinflation in 2008? (IX)
PE53: What was the Greenspan-Bernanke Put? (VIII)
PE52: Walter Bagehot and central banking (VII)
CV149: Lewis Cohen - Ineluctable Modality of Securities Law
PE51: The Fed, the Discount rate, and the Great Depression (VI)
PE50: How much money does the US Treasury have? (V)
PE49: What is a 'Reverse Repo?' (IV)
PE48: What does 'Printing Money' really look like? (III)
PE47: How fast does the money printer go brrr... really? (II)
CV148: Yaël Ossowski - Fix the Money
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